Thursday, April 18, 2024

UPDATED FORECAST 4-18 - FIRST DECENT SOUTH OF THE SEASON

 Early season south swell showing strong this morning and will peak later today.   So Cal deepwater a solid 4.5@17 from around 185-190 - Nor Cal is 3-4@17 from similar angle.  Winds will stay down for the next two days before turning stronger northwest again for the weekend.   Another pulse of south will fill in over the weekend, smaller than our current swell at 2@17 from 200-205.  Because this swell formed further east of New Zealand, good angle of approach for many spots in CA and sets at times might be bigger.   Go surf, cya in the water. 

Thursday, April 11, 2024

UPDATED FORECAST 4-11

Last day of high pressure in control and then winter returns for the weekend.   Storm system will drop down Friday bringing rain and wind, first for far Nor Cal and then moving down the entire State through Sunday.  Mix of swells in the water today, decent size late season northwest swell around 7-9ft at 14sec from 300-305 and some local wind swell around 4-5ft@9-11 seconds.   Will have another shot of swell for the weekend from the current storm now churning in the N Pac and also watching an early season South Pacific swell inbound for the weekend.   Nothing major, but perhaps deepwater around 2@17 sec from 187 or so.  Fairly steep angle.   Winds will be tricky over the next three to four days.   Cya in the water.  

Friday, April 5, 2024

UPDATED FORECAST 4-5

Storm system moving through CA this morning dumping heavy snow in the Sierra as well as local mountains in Central/Nor Cal.   Storm is moving south and east today and will exit tonight.  Behind it, strong north to northwest winds are howling as high pressure fills in.   Large, steep angle northwest swell has filled in - 15-17 ft @13 seconds from 310 far northern areas - showing 11@12 from 300 all the way down to Pt Conception.    Winds will remain strong all day, fading some for Sat/Sun and then ramping back up from north next week as high pressure builds further, temps warm and we get a good shot of Spring weather.   Beyond the weekend - surf will stay small to mid size with a mix of smaller mid period northwest swells and some chunky wind swell from all the wind scheduled to blow.   I   won't say winter is over yet, but the pattern is certainly slowing down as we move into the 2nd week of April.   Good chance we see some weaker systems on and off for the next month or two as the N Pac still has some decent energy in place.    Not tracking any systems from the Southern Hemisphere for the upcoming week.  Cya in the water.    

Saturday, March 30, 2024

UPDATED FORECAST 3-30

 Another round of winter storms impacting the state - last in the series moving through So Cal today and exiting the region.    Behind the low pressure, high pressure will quickly build in and bring strong north winds for the next few days down the coast, further tumbling water temps in the process which are hovering around 50 in far Nor Cal and about 53 Bay Area.   Pulse of west swell is in the water around 8-10 ft @12 seconds from 280 degrees.  North to northwest winds all week, it will feel more like spring as well.   Next chance of rain appears to be late next weekend, but very light amounts.   Don't think we are quite done with the rainy season so expect some April showers.  Swell will gradually fade into mid week, with a very small south swell mid week as well - likely 2 ft @14 sec, and probably lost under all the chop from the upcoming winds.   Cya in the water.  

Sunday, March 24, 2024

UPDATED FORECAST 3-24

 Storm system sweeping through and out of CA today as winter keeps rolling on.   Expect a couple more systems to come in for the upcoming week, especially Central CA to Oregon border.  Steeper angle northwest swell in the water at 9-10ft@12 sec from 300.  Biggest north of SF.  Northwest winds will really ramp up today as the front moves out - winds 15-25knots gusting to 30 knots.  Lighter northwest winds Monday/Tuesday, then turn southwest ahead of a weather system for Wed/Thurs.  Swell fades into tomorrow then a pair of west swells come in for Tuesday and Wednesday, getting XL by Thursday when we push back up to 14-16ft.  Biggest swell north of SF as usual.   No south swell in the water this coming week but keeping an eye on storm activity in the Southern Hemisphere.   Plenty of waves, check your winds and cya in the water.